Doug Vining Electricity demand peaks

American demand for electricity has peaked, and continues to decline on a per capita basis. Futurist Thomas Frey takes an in-depth look at this phenomenon and how it might play out in the future. While the future remains uncertain, and emerging economies are still rapidly growing their power requirements, exponential technologies will shake up the energy sector in all regions of the world.

If peak electricity demand has already been reached in the US, can peak oil demand be far behind?
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Posted: 20 July 2017 at 08:42

Doug Vining China's nuclear future

In China, everything is done at huge scale. They've got three big reactor units coming online soon, and a bunch more under construction and planned. And more and more home-grown tech like the digital control systems are being integrated into these power units. Eventually China intends to have almost 23% of their power from nuclear and a sizeable portion from renewables. Coal is still a big factor for energy in China, but will face steady declines. The sheer size of China's power capacity planned for 2040 is staggering!
A FuturesForum post (titled: "China's nuclear future") refers to this MindBullet. The full FuturesForum post can be read here: http://www.futureworld.org/PublicZone/FuturesForum/BlogDetails.aspx?PostID=1092f7d6-b7ae-4e26-8652-2c38e2d9de9c
Posted: 25 July 2017 at 11:03

Doug Vining The future death of Big Oil

This excellent analysis of how exponential technologies can flip an industry is well worth a read. The end of internal combustion engines spells the end of demand for gasoline. What isn't discussed in this article is that the sudden change will reverse the declining demand for electricity, but as we've discussed elsewhere, solar power is well positioned to take up the slack. Perhaps the best interim strategy for Big Oil is to transition into mainly natural gas - for power generation - and solar.

One wonders if the OPEC states will ban electric cars, and if this analysis extends beyond the United States. However one looks at it, the writing is on the wall...
A FuturesForum post (titled: "The future death of Big Oil") refers to this MindBullet. The full FuturesForum post can be read here: http://www.futureworld.org/PublicZone/FuturesForum/BlogDetails.aspx?PostID=14b173cd-9e6f-4b82-b226-82f8afc613f1
Posted: 16 August 2017 at 17:36
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