Steve Rogers Education

I believe there is a major hole in the argument of increased employment: the human race moving up the job food chain. This assumes that people have the resources to move up the job food chain.

There are millions who live in poverty with no hope of an education to move up the food chain. People might not want to be farm workers or production line workers but they have no choice. The majority of the world is a mess of corrupt politicians, inappropriate socialism and pockets of business excellence isolated from the social environment in which they operate.

In South Africa for example, 17m people depend on social grants which provide nothing more than basic expenses. When you consider South Africa has about 53m citizens, it means a 3rd of the citizens are living hand to mouth. They have no luxury of developing the capabilities to move up the job food chain. They subsist, made worse by a government that doesn't care.

This is a social time bomb in the third world and increasingly in the 1st world with refugees pouring into different parts of the first world. Local conflicts generated by religion, race etc are leading to a class of people who are excluded from the mainstream. This is a dangerous phenomenon which needs addressing directly by governments and big business. Unfortunately, from my experience, government and big business is concerned about making money for themselves and expressing lots of empty platitudes about the poor, the unemployed and the unemployable.
Posted: 17 March 2017 at 10:33

Doug Vining Education

Thanks for your comments Steve, which are very pertinent. History shows us that technology always seems to generate greater prosperity in the end, but this time we are facing exponential growth in automation and new ways of working. It may well be that societies will have to support some sort of universal basic income for those who are displaced, or perhaps Bill Gates's idea of taxing the robots (or their owners) will provide a solution. The future is bound to surprise us; we can expect disruption and upheaval, and possibly a new type of society will emerge.
Posted: 17 March 2017 at 12:28

Doug Vining Fallacies of the robopocalypse

Futurist Thomas Frey recently wrote this opinion piece that supports our fundamental position that robots and automation, by themselves, do not destroy jobs. Often, technology creates new jobs. Thomas makes an important point: Robots don’t eliminate jobs, only tasks. His 14 Fallacies make an interesting contribution to the debate.
A FuturesForum post (titled: "Fallacies of the robopocalypse") refers to this MindBullet. The full FuturesForum post can be read here:
Posted: 23 March 2017 at 10:50

Bronwyn Williams Which - as yet uninvented - jobs will we be doing in the next 10 years?

Ten years ago jobs like Social Media Manager and App Developer were practically non-existent. Now almost everyone knows someone who works in one of those roles.
Although there will be losers, who are unable or unwilling to re-skill themselves for the future, AI and robotics will probably not lead to a "job cliff"; instead, the "machines" will open up doors to as yet uninvented professions. What will those jobs be?
A FuturesForum post (titled: "Which - as yet uninvented - jobs will we be doing in the next 10 years?") refers to this MindBullet. The full FuturesForum post can be read here:
Posted: 14 June 2018 at 09:15
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