Wolfgang Grulke Great Katie Glass column in the Sunday Times

Excuse me if I paraphrase her article - just to make the point that the UK is facing similar social changes and it might well be a global effect, partly driven by technology and the 'access' it provides!

"Technology has ruined our love lives. Posting sexy 'selfies', flirting on twitter, sexting, internet dating...they're not like having an actual shag. In the UK sexual activity and pregnancy among teens has been decreasing since the 1980s. Youngsters are talking up sexualisation, not acting on it. "Liking" someone on Facebook is not the same as a relationship. You can't get pregnant via an app. The more time we spend on social media, the lonelier we become."
We may not have to wait to 2026 for this scenario to come to pass!
Posted: 31 October 2013 at 11:50

Doug Vining Plunging populations

It's gratifying to see news headlines that reflect the MindBullets we have published in the past. Further trend research indicates that Japan's population is set to plunge in coming decades, and other 'emerged' economies will exhibit the same or similar declines in the future.

It's a pet theory of mine that the world's population will peak at about 8 billion or thereabouts and never exceed that number. This report seems to support that idea. Take a look at the MindBullet STOP THE WORLD WE'RE HAVING A MIDLIFE CRISIS for more ramifications of that scenario.
A FuturesForum post (titled: "Plunging populations") refers to this MindBullet. The full FuturesForum post can be read here: http://www.futureworld.org/PublicZone/FuturesForum/BlogDetails.aspx?PostID=0e953de7-27b1-410d-94fc-a2f3af48359b
Posted: 13 January 2014 at 18:07

Doug Vining Plunging populations

Why do people bandy about fictitious numbers like they are real? Where does this meme come from? Twice in the last week I've heard people refer to the global population as 9 billion, once in a live broadcast from Davos. Soon the majority of people in the world will think they are part of a 9-billion populace, as if it is inevitable. Probably because they saw that number on YouTube.

Let's be clear. The world's population recently passed the 7 billion mark, and the rate of growth appears to be slowing.
Posted: 22 January 2014 at 11:33

Doug Vining Japan shrinks and sinks

On the current trajectory, Japan is set to become one huge retirement village. The only way to bring in new blood is to have a positive immigration policy. China is not a good source - they have demographic problems of their own. But what about Africa? That's getting younger and more skilled, and could be a good source of fresh talent for Japan.
A FuturesForum post (titled: "Japan shrinks and sinks") refers to this MindBullet. The full FuturesForum post can be read here: http://www.futureworld.org/PublicZone/FuturesForum/BlogDetails.aspx?PostID=69a32724-4935-43f5-948e-e1eb6f5bee4c
Posted: 5 September 2014 at 09:07

Doug Vining Global population implosion possible by 2076

From New Scientist:
"Could the population bomb be about to go off in the most unexpected way? Rather than a Malthusian meltdown, could we instead be on the verge of a demographic implosion?

To find out how and why, go to Japan, where a recent survey found that people are giving up on sex. Despite a life expectancy of 85 and rising, the number of Japanese is falling thanks to a fertility rate of just 1.4 children per woman, and a reported epidemic of virginity. The population, it seems, are too busy (and too shy) to procreate.

It’s catching. Half the world’s nations have fertility rates below the replacement level of just over two children per woman. Countries across Europe and the Far East are teetering on a demographic cliff, with rates below 1.5. On recent trends, Germany and Italy could see their populations halve within the next 60 years.

The world has hit peak child, says Hans Rosling at the Karolinska Institute in Stockholm, Sweden. Peak person cannot be far behind.

For now, the world’s population continues to rise. From today’s 7.4 billion people, we might reach 9 billion or so, mostly because of high fertility in Africa. The UN predicts a continuing upward trend, with population reaching ...
A FuturesForum post (titled: "Global population implosion possible by 2076") refers to this MindBullet. The full FuturesForum post can be read here: http://www.futureworld.org/PublicZone/FuturesForum/BlogDetails.aspx?PostID=ea62bb00-95c4-458f-ac39-fde0c1c410f1
Posted: 6 July 2017 at 14:08
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