Helmut von Schweitzer Nigeria versus South Africa

Nigeria has taken the initiative. Competition is good for Nigeria and South Africa. However could anybody imagine Nigeria as yet managing a successful FIFA world championship?
Posted: 8 September 2011 at 10:41


A clear comparison between Nigeria and South Africa is seen in this report, i dont know if this was intentional or otherwise. At the end a conclussion is reached that Nigeria will outperform South Africa and this conclussion was made on the following incorrect and unsubstaintiated points:

1. Widespread use of English. English is the only commercial language in South Africa and all the other neibours including Botswana, Lesotho, Zimbabwe, Malawi, DRC, ect. winner: a tie
2.stable democratic capitalist economy, I fail to see how Nigeria is better than South Africa in this area cosidering the past and current religious killings in Nigeria by Bokoharam. winner: S.A
3.oil, Nigeria have oil and South Africa have gold, platinum, silver, diamonds, petrol from coal, ect. Oil alone will not assist the country, their economy will have to be diversified, not all R150m will work in the oil firms. S.A economy diversified than any other in Africa. winner: SA
4.Information and communication technologies. The leading mobile comm company in Nigeria is MTN, a South African company. Again i fail to understand why South Africa is seeing to be failing in this area. winner: a tie.
5. NB Poverty. This is the most important factor and it actually differentiate a 3rd and a 1st world country. Both the two countries are carrying large numbers.
6. Customer base. South African companies are selling to sub sahara and not only South Africa. we are leaving in a global world. look at Qatar.Matopo Jack
Posted: 8 September 2011 at 10:57


Thanks for your comments. This is a fictitious scenario, which may not come to pass, but if you consider only current economic size and growth rates, Nigeria will eventually overtake SA, just as China will overtake the US. Unless things change, of course.
Posted: 8 September 2011 at 15:47


This is a 'scenario' - they are by definition all 'fictitious' - until they come to pass!! They idea is to ask the 'what if?' question for your business/government!
Posted: 9 September 2011 at 11:40


I would add the SA only has an OPPORTUNITY to lead in Africa...not a right. To capitalize on this opportunity it needs to be competitive, simplify doing business, eliminate red-tape, adopt flexible labour practices, embrace openness and transparency, root out corruption mercilessly and raise our education standards. The window of 'African Gateway' opportunity will close...with or without SA having maximized the opportunity...and other African countries are trying to wrest the potential spoils from us.
Posted: 14 September 2011 at 18:30

Doug Vining A failure to lead

In these pages we don't often focus on South Africa. But we are, by some accounts, living in the African decade, and South Africa has long been the most powerful economy on the continent. Even as Africa outperformed the developed economies, South Africa has begun to slip from this position.

The Economist lays the blame squarely on the political leadership: "The ruling African National Congress (ANC) is not entirely to blame... But the party’s incompetence and outright corruption are the main causes of South Africa’s sad decline. Since Mr Mandela retired in 1999, the country has been woefully led."

A year ago we published this MindBullet, suggesting that this scenario was possible, and highlighting some of the drivers that might create it. It seems that the Economist has picked up on this trend.

What South Africa needs more than ever is "Naked Leadership" but I suspect the next elections will provide more woeful leaders.
A FuturesForum post (titled: "A failure to lead") refers to this MindBullet. The full FuturesForum post can be read here: http://www.futureworld.org/PublicZone/FuturesForum/BlogDetails.aspx?PostID=3b0936db-f7c1-46aa-b8fd-6abd2a0f5bbe
Posted: 23 October 2012 at 09:28

Doug Vining Nigeria moves into the lead

As we accurately foretold some years ago, Nigeria has surpassed South Africa to be come the continent's biggest economy. The sudden leap into the lead is the result of rebasing the 'real' GDP estimates, which might be construed by some as statistical trickery, but and earlier rebasing might have put Nigeria in lead years ago.

Be that as it may, South Africa is still poised to be the dominant economy in the southern region, and could catch up with Nigeria, if only its leaders would pursue growth instead of personal agendas. The latest example: At the last minute, the draft bill to regulate the potential gas and oil bonanza from fracking was altered to give the government the right to own up to 100% of any development. That's bound to chase away potential investors to more reasonable regimes.
A FuturesForum post (titled: "Nigeria moves into the lead") refers to this MindBullet. The full FuturesForum post can be read here: http://www.futureworld.org/PublicZone/FuturesForum/BlogDetails.aspx?PostID=7991237a-5822-4ebe-9157-fcd6ec76e775
Posted: 8 April 2014 at 09:38
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