It would be interesting to consider a similar (based in 2036) scenario for Japan and particular Northern European countries who are already at the point suggested here for China.
Would these countries have contracted, but stabilised?
Would they have continued along the imigration route and sustained growth?
Would they be experiencing social termoil brought about by the asimilation of immigrants into the society?
Posted: 20 October 2011 at 07:07

Doug Vining Demographics for a bright American future

Never write off the US of A! While the world is in awe of China and the other BRICS we should remember that the US has completely different demographics to Europe, and a positive immigration policy.

I love the non conformist nature of these quotes from this RAND article:

"Demographic trends suggest that if China’s economy cannot surpass that of the United States by 2050, it might never do so."

"The United States also appears likely to have the demographic and economic resources to retain its global supremacy through at least 2050."

"The accumulation of slow demographic changes inexorably alters nations, especially vis-à-vis one another — and in ways that are not easy to reverse."

The scenario posed by this MindBullet, where China looks to immigration for its salvation, may prove to be quite accurate!
A FuturesForum post (titled: "Demographics for a bright American future") refers to this MindBullet. The full FuturesForum post can be read here:
Posted: 12 March 2012 at 16:19

Anton Musgrave USA, with China, faces a serious demographic challenge!

Every culture and society needs a certain level of birth rate to stay vibrant, relevant and successful. USA has suddenly tipped negatively and without adequate immigration, it wont survive in the long run. China faces a similar challenge as does Europe and the UK.
A FuturesForum post (titled: "USA, with China, faces a serious demographic challenge!") refers to this MindBullet. The full FuturesForum post can be read here:
Posted: 22 May 2018 at 15:17
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