Simo Lushaba Implications for governments and ordinary citizens

This is a far reaching and challenging future scenario. It impacts on how nations, especially governments and ordinary people, prepare their school-going generations to thrive in this future. It offers huge opportunities to those that see and pursue opportunity. It is the kind of message that every school ought to share with its pupils!
Posted: 27 April 2007 at 00:00

Sam Simons Relationship Economies

As the Relationship Economies grow, traditional trading power shifts away from those corporations that exercise purchasing power to those who have relationship and trading influence. The benefits from a Relationship Economy become driven by the deconstruction of expensive hierarchical organisational structures and substitution of dynamic, mutually beneficial partnering enterprise. Those that have the Relationship skills (Partnering, Trust, Integrity, resource sharing) will create broad partnerships capable of delivering all a company needs from a network of likeminded organisations. This is an entirely new (in modern times) form of mutually supportive and co-operative business that creates opportunity for business returns exceeding current norms. Some businesses are already demonstrating spectacular growth against peer companies by implementing Strategic Relationship practices and switching away from internal hierarchies to manage all processes.
Sam Simons - Business Relationship Director, Laing O'Rourke - May07
Posted: 10 May 2007 at 07:22

Wolfgang Grulke RE: Relationship Economies

Hello Sam - you guys at Laing O'Rourke seem to have mastered the networked step-change approach to business. I heard that Heathrow's Terminal Five project will be completed early and under budget due to your excellent work - or is that just a rumour?
Posted: 10 May 2007 at 19:09

Sam Simons RE: RE: Relationship Economies

Hi Wolfgang, .... no it is not a rumour. Achieved through partnership and alliancing up and down the supply chain but also, by driving forward with new methods and technologies that speeded up information exchange, production planning and enabled controlled implementation. In other words using technology smarts & building relationship processes that align objectives and flatten the traditional heirarchy of people that can impede progress. AN ENTREPRENEURIAL APPROACH WITHIN A CORPORATE ENVIRONMENT! The effort and committment of all the Team must be acknowledged as is is only through the recognition of common objectives and creating common vision that people and organisations can align themselves in this entrepreneurial way and eliminate personal or corporate ego. (ego generates conflict & hence wasted effort)

Companies are complex networks of people, Entrepreneurial companies are dynamic companies driven by vision ..... Relationship Companies are complex networks of Entrepreneurial People driven to deliver on common vision. In this Relationship Economy the individual must demonstrate personal skill (knowledge), personal drive (entrepreneurship), and personal networking (relationship) ... a group of such people focussed on a common objective are not a "Company", they are a Powerhouse for Change.
Sam

“Vision without action is merely a dream, action without vision is merely passing time, but action with vision can change the world.” Nelson Mandela
Posted: 22 May 2007 at 11:25

John Menasce Econnomy booms employment falls

Technology is replacing many routine office tasks especially in engineering where the software packages are now so powerful that a single engineer can do conceptual design, model the item or plant and then break it down into piece-part drawings and even bills of material and spare parts manuals. These workstations are expensive , currently some cost in the region of USD 200 000 but they replace a multitude of people that did the routine detail engineering design work.
This is a trend that has happened over the last 15 years since the common advent of computer aided design packages and has already been optimised in the automotive and mobile equipmment design and manufacturing industries where the engineering costs have risen to the point of unsustainability and have had to be contained. The next industry to be affacted will be the capital projects industry that still use large drawing offices who have modernised only in that they have removed the traditinal drawing board and replaced it with a computer. The next generation of engineers in this capital projects business will have to do the conceptual work as well as the detail design because drafting costs are reaching unsustainable levels with the shortage of experienced resources.
Posted: 10 May 2007 at 14:41

Wolfgang Grulke RE: Econnomy booms employment falls

As the capital cost of this stechnology falls dramatically, many of these new engineering jobs will be done by networked entrepreneurial engineers who will shed the corporate comforts for the ability to sell their pwersonal excellence on the open markets of our increasingly 'flat world'.

Even engineers will have to be entrepreneurs to succeed big!
Posted: 10 May 2007 at 17:30

John Menasce RE: RE: Econnomy booms employment falls

HI Wolfgang,
This is going to be a huge step for analytical engineers. Many of them are not socially comfortable and prefer to stay behind the computer or their desk rather than expose themselves to the entrepreneural world outside. The Dilbert cartoon is so very tyical of the analyst and the analytical style personality. I'm speaking from good experience here as I manage a whole team of these guys [temper tantrums, egos, obsessive opinions, lack of tact etc]!! What is going to happen to the "Dilbert" of the engineering, accounting and other applied sciences professions under these conditions?
Posted: 11 May 2007 at 08:46

John Menasce RE: RE: Econnomy booms employment falls

Hi wolfgang,
something not right onthe website as it won't accept the reply.
Posted: 11 May 2007 at 08:48

John Menasce Economy booms Employment falls

LEAN thinking- taking the human congestion factor out of systems.

The global automotive industry introduced LEAN manufacturing systems and has perfected this process to optimise use of resources both physical and human. Toyota has been spectacularly succesful with this thinking. Recently the LEAN philosophy has been taken into the service industry where the British National Health has introducted LEAN thinking into hospital services in a very successful attempt to improve service levels to patients. [Reference is a recent article in the Johannesburg Star business section].
It is only a matter of time before this thinking is taken into all service industries and used to optimise scarce and expensive human resources which inevitably means removing the human factor and replacing it by effective systems and IT, whilst at the same time improving client service levels by significant amounts and creating a strategic service "product differentiation".
In the NHS case figures were quoted for patient admission delay queues being reduced from hours to minutes, as well as delays for drug administering from dispensaries being reduced down to minutes as well as elimination of dispensing errors.
Posted: 10 May 2007 at 17:13

Norris Dalton WOLDWIDE UNEMPLOYMENT-

'Unemployment' has become the No 1 Social disease of the 21st century - in both the Developed and the Developing economies - primarily as a result of the rapid advances in technology throughout the 20th century -i.e. machines and equipment automation replaced the need for 80% of 'Blue-collar' workers in the workplace in the first 50 years - whereas CIT advances replaced the need for 80% of 'White-collar' ( and 'Pink-collar') workers _- including Middle management !! - in the workpace in the last 50 years.
In South Africa Unemployment has been increasing at a rate of
400 000 per annum over the past decade - currently stands at
8 000 000 (40%) - and is its greatest social problem - ahead of HIV/ADS.
During the past few years attempts have been made to teach a New Mindset or survival Life-skill -(called 'Workeracy')- to all school-leavers and graduates to replace a 'Job-seeking' mindset with a 'Work-creation' mind-set - i.e Forget 'Jobs' , Think 'Work opportunities - and to set up a National Network of
Workeracy Empowerment Centres so that the Unemployed (i.e 8 000 000) can create their own Employment :-
The Unemployed are not the Problem
The Unemployed are themselves the Solution
- If only the can be taught How.
'Employed for life - but never held a 'Job' '.
Dr Norris W Dalton www.workeracy.co.za
nwdalton@metrowb.co.za
Posted: 15 May 2007 at 04:35

Wolfgang Grulke RE: WOLDWIDE UNEMPLOYMENT-

The reality is that corporations are increasingly reluctant to hire 'permanent' staff because it is a commitment for life in many countries. Individuals too are realising the the flexibility of a 'portfolio life' as an independent worker can be very attractive.

There may well be an increasing shortage of 'jobs' - but there is no shortage of 'work' that needs to be done, and for which people are prepared to pay handsomely.

Any individual who is internally driven has almost unlimited opportunities - provided they are literate, speak English and are wired (or wireless!) - connected to the rest of the planet. These should all be basic human rights!!!!

Then, there would be no more 'have nots' - just the 'want nots'!

We should teach everyone the power of the individual - and how they can apply it!
Posted: 15 May 2007 at 15:05

Norris Dalton RE: RE: WOLDWIDE UNEMPLOYMENT-

Hi Wolfgang
I totally agree with what you say !!
In South Africa-and I suspect many other countries -the Education system is still locked in to the mantra 'Get an Education-Get a Qualification-Get a 'Job' -in spite of the fact
that the Industrial Age Modern 'Job' -as the primary form of earning-a-living - passed its sell-by date some 30 years ago. Therefore all school-leavers and graduates are imbued with a 'Job'-seeking mentality which regrettably is not relevant
for the majority of students - i.e there are no 'Jobs' available to them -ever in their working life. The Labour-force in SA-2005 (i.e. 12 000 000 workers) is structured as follows -- (15%) Blue-chip 'Jobs':(10%)Grudge 'Jobs': (35%) AWPs (Alternative 'Work' Patterns):(21%) 'Active' -i.e still Job-seeking -Unemployed:(19%) 'Passive' -given up 'Hope' of finding a 'Job'--. In 2005 there were over 200 000 tertiary qualified 'graduates' unemployed who not only cannot find 'Jobs' -but worse are incapable - or at best mentally ill-equipped- of ever getting a Start-up smme off the ground - or working for themselves in the new "work-based" Knowledge economy - without further work-based education. It was for to address this issue that WORKERACY was developed some 10years ago to re-educate students for the 21st century 'World-of-Work' - i.e. No 'Jobs' - but Unlimited 'work opportunities'. However , trying to introduce this change of mindset within the SA Education System has proven to be a mammoth task.
Posted: 16 May 2007 at 01:34

Rudiger Holzapfel RE: RE: WOLDWIDE UNEMPLOYMENT-

This all sounds very aspirational to me!

I wonder if at all, this is not going to take two/several generations to change people's mindsets; maybe it has to get much worse to begin taking hold?

And where to start? As long as e.g. in the developed world there is government help, call it social security or unemployment benefit, how do you shake these people up? Cut, even stop the support? Not only does that go against any image of a humane society (although you might argue that the humane way in the long run is to shake things up), but it seems a horrible invitation to riots, even civil war between haves and have-nots. Why would anyone change their attitude to work if the support network is in place? It seems a catch-22, not only now but also in the future.

But on the other hand, there have always been prime examples of how to really educate the next generation. Anyone who needs a refresher course in how to teach should read "The Marva Collins Way" by Marva Collins - or simply read up on her achievements. She stands for truely empowering (and teaching to think) school children of all abilities rather than making them memorize "testable" facts.

At the back of my mind there is a cynical, nagging thought, that our governments don't really want free thinkers and empowered people, they would make their lives so much more difficult . . . so why would they support a new school of thought?
Posted: 26 June 2007 at 18:13

Wolfgang Grulke RE: RE: RE: WOLDWIDE UNEMPLOYMENT-

Governments are not alone in this way of thinking - look around and you will see many businesses that thrive on keeping consumers and customers ignorant!

As individuals I believe that we all have a role to play in elevating the quality of thinking - for ourselves and all around us. The the power of the human spirit can take it further from there.

If we don't start we will never know what it feels like to get to the end!
Posted: 27 June 2007 at 14:01

Rudiger Holzapfel RE: RE: RE: RE: WOLDWIDE UNEMPLOYMENT-

Hi Wolfgang,

I agree with you wholeheartedly. And I know that we have to start somewhere, even in our dreams, because once a thought has be thought, it can't be unthought; it will linger and nag.

So maybe it is at us to start nagging, do what we can do in our circle of influence today.
Posted: 27 June 2007 at 15:35

Wolfgang Grulke RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: WOLDWIDE UNEMPLOYMENT-

I don't want this to sound like a sales pitch, but with your interests you should really be a full subscriber to MindBullets to get access to the thinking behind the email articles!
Posted: 27 June 2007 at 15:50

Lisa Talia Moretti New book: The End of Growth

"Economists insist that recovery is at hand, yet unemployment remains high, real estate values continue to sink, and governments stagger under record deficits. The End of Growth proposes a startling diagnosis: humanity has reached a fundamental turning point in its economic history."

Adding this to my reading list...
A FuturesForum post (titled: "New book: The End of Growth") refers to this MindBullet. The full FuturesForum post can be read here: http://www.futureworld.org/PublicZone/FuturesForum/BlogDetails.aspx?PostID=d2ed9c93-827d-46fb-8359-a27eba561dec
Posted: 15 June 2011 at 10:54

Doug Vining Jobless boom or non-boom

Once again our MindBullets seem to be quite prophetic. This report highlights another disturbing trend - even entrepreneurs are not creating jobs.

This MindBullet from 2007 put forward a scenario for 2012, where, if you are not an entrepreneur, you'll probably be unemployed. That seems to be happening now, a year earlier than we imagined.

The new work is definitely going to be DIY. That's another good reason to look at 3D printers, if you're into manufacturing, rather than a service industry.
A FuturesForum post (titled: "Jobless boom or non-boom") refers to this MindBullet. The full FuturesForum post can be read here: http://www.futureworld.org/PublicZone/FuturesForum/BlogDetails.aspx?PostID=e20ac8cc-d526-4139-ba8d-427be13f4373
Posted: 22 July 2011 at 15:30
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