Wolfgang Grulke WHO fears that bird flu could kill 2-50 million

UK's Daily Express reports on a World Health Organization report which asserts that if the bird flu virus mutates into a strain that passes between humans it could kill between two and fifty million people. Prof. Hugh Pennington rates the virus a bigger threat than bio-terrorism. "This is natural bio-terrorism. It won't spare anybody and could kill two million Britons" says Pennington. He also accused Tony Blair of "dragging his feet" and "underestmating the danger".
Posted: 6 March 2005 at 23:00

Wolfgang Grulke Chinese newspapers raise fears of new outbreak

Today, the Chinese newspapers are full of the story of the Chinese government rushing three million doses of H5N1 vaccine to Northwest China's Qinghai Province after massive deaths of migratory geese in the area due to the fatal virus. All poultry in the area will be vaccinated within days and fears are that this strain of the virus contains a gene that allows for human contraction.
Posted: 24 May 2005 at 10:55

Doug Vining RE: Chinese newspapers raise fears of new ...

Reports coming out of Qinghai suggest H5N1 infections in humans and birds are out of control, with birds distributing H5N1 to the north and west, while people are being cremated and told to keep quiet.

Reports from Chinese language papers detail over 200 suspected infections in over two dozen locations in Qinghai Province. In the most affected 18 regions, there are 121 deaths, generating a case fatality rate above 60%.

Even if only a small fraction of the deaths are H5N1 linked, the cases would move the bird flu pandemic stage from 5 to the final stage 6, representing sustained human-to-human transmission of H5N1.
Posted: 30 May 2005 at 15:06

Doug Vining Bird Flu outbreak no longer 'If' but 'When'

According to the latest studies in Nature. Read about them in New Scientist:
Posted: 5 August 2005 at 13:06

Doug Vining Bird Flu reaches Europe

Deadly Asian bird flu reaches fringes of Europe
Oct 13, 2005

BRUSSELS (Reuters) - A strain of bird flu that can be deadly for humans has spread from Asia to the fringes of Europe, and countries should prepare for a potential pandemic, Europe's health chief said on Thursday.
Posted: 14 October 2005 at 07:51

Doug Vining The value of scenario planning

The US plan includes a worst-case scenario with an outbreak that would start in a small village in Thailand and then spread quickly to Europe and the United States.
Posted: 7 December 2005 at 08:09

Wolfgang Grulke Preparing for the Pandemic

Scientific American has published what is likely the most lucid account ever of the challenges and the likely outcomes - read the November 2005 edition (title above) or go to http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?chanID=sa006&colID=1&articleID=000DCB5A-9CC7-134E-9CC783414B7F0000
Posted: 29 December 2005 at 18:14

Doug Vining Bird flu could still be the great pandemic of this century

As we wrote in a MindBullet published way back in 2005, the real risk of bird flu is not catching it from birds, but when it mutates into a strain that is highly contagious between humans. That scenario could still materialize and if it does, we probably are "sitting ducks."

Another reason for the west to fear China?
A FuturesForum post (titled: "Bird flu could still be the great pandemic of this century") refers to this MindBullet. The full FuturesForum post can be read here: http://www.futureworld.org/PublicZone/FuturesForum/BlogDetails.aspx?PostID=1fd31536-8d60-4d96-ae3a-56c2c4dd772b
Posted: 2 May 2013 at 19:17
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