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Doug Vining
Solar towers in the desert
Posted: 14 May 2013
Here's an example of harvesting the Sun's heat on a massive scale. These solar towers could be used for more than just driving steam turbines, as suggested in this MindBullet scenario.
...
Complete story...
BrightSource Energy Looks Ahead to New Concentrating Solar Thermal Power Markets
14 May 2013
With BrightSource’s Ivanpah solar plant about to come online, the company looks to its next projects for the economics to improve.
THE HYDROGEN ECONOMY IS HERE
Hydrogen will be the dominant fuel of the future
Dateline: 15 July 2017
After two decades of disappointment, hydrogen is finally becoming a viable fuel and source of energy for the world economy. The breakthroughs in innovation ...
Neil Jacobsohn
Revolutionizing the solar industry
Posted: 12 May 2013
Everyone's heard of South African-born entrepreneur Elon Musk, he of PayPal, Falcon Space and Tesla fame. But did you know he has a cousin, also born in South Africa, who is revolutionizing the US solar industry?
Complete story...
Disruptor | Lyndon Rive, SolarCity | SmartPlanet
12 May 2013
The South African native is challenging the legacy rules of U.S. power generation and financing, seeking to make clean energy as cost-effective as ele
COAL HITS US$10 PER TON AS SOLAR POWER SHINES
Nano solar films bring cheap energy to sunshine states
Dateline: 5 May 2018
It's hard to believe that a mere decade ago fossil fuels were at a premium, and everyone talked of 'peak oil' and the high prices of natural gas and coal. ...
MindBullets Editors
THE HYDROGEN ECONOMY IS HERE
Published on: 9 May 2013
1 Comment
Hydrogen will be the dominant fuel of the future
Dateline: 15 July 2017
After two decades of disappointment, hydrogen is finally becoming a viable fuel and source of energy for the world economy. The breakthroughs in innovation that have allowed hydrogen to come into its own both rely on nano-catalysts and solar power. The first source of cheap hydrogen is the FireWater Electrolyzer, an efficient and effective device that uses ordinary solar panels to turn water into its two base elements - hydrogen and oxygen. The hydrogen is collected and put through a fuel cell to ...
Complete story...
Doug Vining
Mini-boom begins
Posted: 8 May 2013
In line with our Timeline for the scenario for global growth that is described in this MindBullet, we would expect some signs of a global 'mini-boom' to start soon.
This could be one of those weak signals that gives us an early warning that that is precisely what is going to happen. If it does, will it peak in 2016 or sooner? Or will rising demand for energy cause it to falter? ...
Complete story...
Global shares reach fresh five-year highs on Chinese trade data
8 May 2013
Bigger than expected rises in both imports and exports add to buoyant mood on global equities markets, to detriment of commodities
STOP THE WORLD, WE'RE HAVING A MIDLIFE CRISIS
The West deflates, China stagnates, and the rest of the world watches and worries
Dateline: 1 May 2040
As the 21st Century approaches middle age, prices are falling alarmingly. In real terms, everything from coal to electronics is cheaper than it was four ...
Doug Vining
A Tesla in every home
Posted: 7 May 2013
Elon Musk reckons that, with a new payment plan and some creative accounting, about 30 million Americans can afford a Tesla. That's a lot of electric cars, and would test Tesla's production capacity severely, seeing as they've been having trouble producing 5,000 per quarter.
But I think the point is, many more people could afford electric cars, as they become mainstream and costs decline, as ...
Complete story...
Why It’s Okay that Tesla Makes Cars for Rich People
7 May 2013
The U.S. Department of Energy has been criticized for loaning money to Tesla Motors because the company makes cars that only rich people can afford. That’s ...
WHO KILLED THE ELECTRIC CAR?
Despite the hype, the electric car has failed, again, to be a commercial success. Who is to blame?
Dateline: 8 July 2014
Remember the very first electric car, the EV1? They made a movie about its demise, and blamed the oil companies. Well, it's happened again. The electric ...
Neil Jacobsohn
Could this be the solar breakthrough?
Posted: 6 May 2013
1 Comment
I remain convinced there will be a breakthrough in energy which will completely change the economics of it all, and rewrite the rules of the industry - could this be it?
Complete story...
Harry Atwater Pursues Higher Solar Power Efficiency by Combining Optical Techniques With Conventiona
6 May 2013
Doubling the efficiency of solar devices would completely change the economics of renewable energy. Here is a design that just might make it possible.
COAL HITS US$10 PER TON AS SOLAR POWER SHINES
Nano solar films bring cheap energy to sunshine states
Dateline: 5 May 2018
It's hard to believe that a mere decade ago fossil fuels were at a premium, and everyone talked of 'peak oil' and the high prices of natural gas and coal. ...
Neil Jacobsohn
More oil than we thought
Posted: 6 May 2013
Isn't it interesting how the many predictions that we are running out of resources seem to be overturned again and again? But that doesn't mean we shouldn't use energy more intelligently. Surely that's simple business sense?
Complete story...
USGS Doubles Its Estimate for a Huge U.S. Oil and Gas Resource | MIT Technology Review
6 May 2013
The U.S. Geological Survey doubles its estimate for the size of a huge U.S. oil and gas resource.
AMERICA THE OIL EXPORTER
Unconventional oil and gas alters the geopolitical balance
Dateline: 4 July 2025
Over the last 20 years, North American oil and gas reserves have been boosted by the large scale exploitation of so-called unconventionals - mainly shale ...
Doug Vining
Stimulus or austerity?
Posted: 27 April 2013
Europe embraced austerity while other countries, notably the US, opted for stimulus to pull them out of the recession. Now there is mounting evidence that austerity has failed to do the job.
This is indicative of the thinking that says the future is a matter of choices. But perhaps, given the situation in Greece and elsewhere, there was little choice but to insist on austerity, as the poor ...
Complete story...
Europe in limbo as economic chiefs debate the future
27 April 2013
The European Union's focus on austerity has hit the limits of public acceptance, says the head of the trading bloc's executive arm.
STOP THE WORLD, WE'RE HAVING A MIDLIFE CRISIS
The West deflates, China stagnates, and the rest of the world watches and worries
Dateline: 1 May 2040
As the 21st Century approaches middle age, prices are falling alarmingly. In real terms, everything from coal to electronics is cheaper than it was four ...
MindBullets Editors
ROTARY ENGINE SENDS SHOCK WAVES THROUGH AUTO INDUSTRY
Published on: 25 April 2013
The new wave disk power plant will change the way hybrid autos are designed and fueled. Is this a Black Swan approaching?
Dateline: 6 May 2015
The first commercial application of the Shockwave Engine has been piloted by Ford in their latest hybrid SUV. The brainchild of Norbert Mueller of Michigan State University, this innovative rotary engine uses a fraction of the fuel consumed by a normal piston engine, for the same power output. A cross between the Wankel rotary engine and a jet turbine, the Mueller engine is best suited to generating electric power at fairly constant speed, rather than driving a mechanical transmission. It runs on a ...
Complete story...
Doug Vining
Balancing the scales
Posted: 19 April 2013
I was alerted to this trend by
Adrian Saville
. For the first time, GDP contribution from the rest of the world exceeds that of the advanced economies.
This clearly illustrates the shift in geopolitical power away from the Old World and towards the Dynamic Markets. What I find particularly interesting is the fact that the trends were basically flat for decades, and began to converge about ten ...
Complete story...
STOP THE WORLD, WE'RE HAVING A MIDLIFE CRISIS
The West deflates, China stagnates, and the rest of the world watches and worries
Dateline: 1 May 2040
As the 21st Century approaches middle age, prices are falling alarmingly. In real terms, everything from coal to electronics is cheaper than it was four decades ago, and steel is at its lowest price in 100 years. Deflation is the norm in the Old World, and the so-called Dynamic Markets are no longer so dynamic. Over the past century, we have seen global growth on an unprecedented scale, and ...
Doug Vining
Coal still in big demand
Posted: 18 April 2013
It seems that coal power is still cheap, reliable and easy to integrate into the grid. Although gas is making big inroads in the US, and solar prices are falling like Moore's law would suggest, centralized utility power is still going to dominate for some time.
Perhaps this MindBullet was a little optimistic in its Timeline? ...
Complete story...
International Energy Agency Shows Coal Power Is Growing Faster than Solar or Wind
18 April 2013
An International Energy Agency report calls for more research, carbon price, to help renewables compete.
COAL HITS US$10 PER TON AS SOLAR POWER SHINES
Nano solar films bring cheap energy to sunshine states
Dateline: 5 May 2018
It's hard to believe that a mere decade ago fossil fuels were at a premium, and everyone talked of 'peak oil' and the high prices of natural gas and coal. ...
Marizanne Knoesen
Mexico Is Getting Better, and Fewer Mexicans Want to Leave
Posted: 18 April 2013
http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2013/04/mexico-is-getting-better-and-fewer-mexicans-want-to-leave/275064/
Complete story...
THE NEW MEXICAN REVOLUTION
The Mexican Wave becomes a tsunami
Dateline: 7 July 2018
In five years Mexico has doubled its GDP and has overtaken Latin American rival Brazil as the largest economy in the region. At Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) Mexico is bigger than the UK and France, and closing in on Germany. The biggest reason for this rapid rise is the upsurge in demand from Mexico's gorilla neighbour, the United States. Coupled with labour costs lower than China and an ...
MindBullets Editors
STOP THE WORLD, WE'RE HAVING A MIDLIFE CRISIS
Published on: 18 April 2013
3 Comments
The West deflates, China stagnates, and the rest of the world watches and worries
Dateline: 1 May 2040
As the 21st Century approaches middle age, prices are falling alarmingly. In real terms, everything from coal to electronics is cheaper than it was four decades ago, and steel is at its lowest price in 100 years. Deflation is the norm in the Old World, and the so-called Dynamic Markets are no longer so dynamic. Over the past century, we have seen global growth on an unprecedented scale, and average income per capita, worldwide, has never been higher. The economic superpowers of the previous century, ...
Complete story...
Doug Vining
Mexican murder rate improves
Posted: 11 April 2013
So it would seem that parts of this scenario are unfolding. Although the murder rate in Mexico is shocking, it's not that bad compared to say, South Africa, with twice as many people. If improvements continue, I can foresee a future where we look to Mexico as an example of what can be done to get back in the game.
Complete story...
Mexico 'drug-related murders down'
11 April 2013
Mexico's government says there have been fewer drug-related murders in Mexico since President Enrique Pena Nieto came to power on 1 December 2012.
THE NEW MEXICAN REVOLUTION
The Mexican Wave becomes a tsunami
Dateline: 7 July 2018
In five years Mexico has doubled its GDP and has overtaken Latin American rival Brazil as the largest economy in the region. At Purchasing Power Parity ...
Neil Jacobsohn
Nuclear has a powerful ally!
Posted: 8 April 2013
There is so much hot air in the nuclear (or anti-nuclear) debate - and so much uninformed commentary on both sides. So here's a really interesting position from an acclaimed scientist, and the "godfather" of the climate change debate. Read on!
Complete story...
Grandfather of global warming fight: Nuclear power saves millions of lives | SmartPlanet
8 April 2013
James Hansen has been campaigning against global warming for decades. He retired as boss of NASA’s Goddard Institute of Space Studies this week,
NUCLEAR FUTURE A PERSONAL REALITY
GE launches community and home reactors
Dateline: 7 November 2022
During the past two decades global energy demands have doubled. The nuclear power industry has grown on demands for electrical power to fuel economic ...
Neil Jacobsohn
Living in the city of the future
Posted: 8 April 2013
Its common cause that mankind's future will be in cities. We're urbanizing at a faster rate than ever before. But how do we fit all those people into the relatively confined space of our cities? How will we live? How will we commute and travel? Some fascinating insights from MIT's Media Labs.
Complete story...
Q&A: Kent Larson, director, MIT Media Lab’s Changing Places group | SmartPlanet
8 April 2013
Most future population growth will occur in cities. To make them more livable, Kent Larson is developing technologies for shared-use vehicles and tiny
MEGACITIES HAVE TO DOWNSIZE
United Nations blames supersized cities for world's social ills
Dateline: 15 March 2039
In a sweeping move, the United Nations has ordered the 75 largest megacities in the world to come up with strategies to radically reduce their urban ...
Neil Jacobsohn
Marathon runners will generate power
Posted: 8 April 2013
Now here's an innovative energy idea! This might be just a bit of fun, but there is serious intent behind this kind of research. We keep reading about a looming energy crisis...but I am quite sure that human ingenuity will come to our rescue! Best foot forward, you might say!
Complete story...
Paris Marathon will harvest energy from runners | SmartPlanet
8 April 2013
The energy exerted by runners at the Paris Marathon won’t be wasted. Here’s how.
ENERGY WARS IN FULL SWING
Where's my solar power solution?
Dateline: 5 June 2016
In the last five years the world has seen ever more conflict over that basic resource, so essential to the modern industrialized economy, energy. Real wars ...
Neil Jacobsohn
Google Goggles to be made in the US
Posted: 28 March 2013
So here's news that the first Google Goggles will be made...in the US! There's more and more evidence that the US is experiencing a manufacturing renaissance. Coupled to the natural gas revolution, which will dramatically reduce the US's dependence on oil imports, how long before the American economic powerhouse is back on track? Will China in fact become the No.1 economic force in the world, ...
Complete story...
Google Glass: made in the USA? - Silicon Valley Business Journal
28 March 2013
With all the furor over the first Explorer units of the Google Glass going out...
AMERICA THE BOUNTIFUL 2.0
Euphoria sets in as energy glut reignites the industrial economy
Dateline: 1 January 2020
President Hillary Rodham Clinton had tears of joy in her eyes, as she addressed the nation from the White House lawn, welcoming her fellow Americans to "a ...
Neil Jacobsohn
Small nuclear reactors - cheaper and safer
Posted: 28 March 2013
And the debate over nuclear rages on...it's a real black/white debate: you're either vehemently opposed to it, or vociferously in favor! Here's an assessment of small modular reactors - cheaper and safer, and there's plenty of money being spent on development.
India, meanwhile, has announced plans to go ahead and build new nuclear power plants - but using thorium instead of uranium. Among its ...
Complete story...
Should the Department of Energy Fund Small Modular Reactors? | MIT Technology Review
28 March 2013
Small reactors have some benefits, but they won’t make nuclear as cheap as natural gas.
THORIUM - THE NEW URANIUM
Green, clean and abundant - what more do we want?
Dateline: 11 October 2013
Indian engineers seem to have set the cat among the pigeons of the nuclear energy industry. Yesterday, in a Mumbai press briefing, the newly-formed INEF ...
Doug Vining
City farming in Chicago
Posted: 27 March 2013
The idea of large scale, urban and vertical farming seemed a little crazy in 2007 when we published this MindBullet.
Well, here's news of just that in Chicago. What's quite novel is the interesting way they fertilize the plants - with poop from "hormone-free tilapia" fish. This is aquaponics taken to its logical conclusion.
I wonder what they feed the fish? ...
Complete story...
Nation's Largest Indoor Vertical Farm Opens Its Doors
27 March 2013
Occupying 90,000 square feet of a formerly abandoned suburban Chicago warehouse, FarmedHere is not only the first indoor vertical farm of its kind in the ...
SKYSCRAPER FARMS SOLVE URBAN FOOD SUPPLY CHAIN
Indoor farming produces fresh food where it's needed - in the store
Dateline: 1 May 2030
New thinking in urban design, plus new technologies, are turning city blocks into self-contained 'country villages'. Hydrogen fuel cells and community ...
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