Filtered by tag: Environment

The coming glut of electric cars
Posted: 12 December 2018

Over the years, several of our MindBullets have set out scenarios involving China, fossil fuels, new energy and electric cars. So much so, that it's difficult to choose one with which to highlight this new analysis about China and the accelerating pace of electric vehicle adoption and manufacture.

Here's a MindBullet that says this might all backfire (sorry) by 2029... ...

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How China raised the stakes for electric vehicles
12 December 2018
With confidence in future demand from the vast Chinese market, carmakers’ ambitions took off.
MindBullet logo ELECTRIC CAR GLUT THREATENS WORLD TRADE
China accused of dumping as prices plummet
Dateline: 5 March 2029
China's success as the biggest producer of cars - mainly electric cars - the world has ever seen, has led to a problem of massive over capacity. There are ...
America's new oil for export
Posted: 10 December 2018

Six years ago we speculated that new technology, principally fracking, would enable the United States to become a net exporter of oil. This has now become a reality, as for the first time in 75 years the US exports more petro products than it imports. Plus a further announcement of the "largest ever continuous resource" puts America on a firm footing to expand its oil and gas exports.

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Largest ever continuous oil and gas resource found in the United States
10 December 2018
The US Department of the Interior has announced the discovery of the largest continuous oil and gas field ever found, estimated to contain 46.3 billion ...
MindBullet logo AMERICA THE OIL EXPORTER
Unconventional oil and gas alters the geopolitical balance
Dateline: 4 July 2025
Over the last 20 years, North American oil and gas reserves have been boosted by the large scale exploitation of so-called unconventionals - mainly shale ...

ELECTRIC FEAST FROM THE EAST

Published on: 1 November 2018

China exports latest technology for organic food

Dateline: 9 January 2023

In dramatic style, China has surged ahead with the production of organic fruit and vegetables at affordable prices. Since the breakthrough achieved five years ago, China's 'ion farmers' have grown exponentially - and it's all thanks to electricity! If it sounds like science fiction, you're excused, but in fact electromagnetic pulses are beating pests and accelerating plant growth in millions of greenhouses across the country. Facing the daunting task of feeding a burgeoning population with ...

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Accelerating the take off
Posted: 18 October 2018

What most people don't realise is that air traffic is growing exponentially, at an accelerating rate, globally. This is driven partly by increased efficiency due to tech, as well as increased affluence, especially in places like India and China, the biggest markets for future travel. It's one of the paradoxes of efficiency, called Jevson's paradox, I think, that as things become more ...

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MindBullet logo CRUISING THE CROWDED SKIES
Everybody who's anybody is a frequent flyer
Dateline: 20 March 2038
In the last couple of decades, air traffic has rocketed. Annual air passenger numbers have shot up from less than 8 billion in 2018 to over 20 billion today. That's almost three times the world population, every year! Bearing in mind that hardly any flights exceed 24 hours, that means that, on average, 60 million people are boarding flights, somewhere, every day. And that doesn't include ...

CRUISING THE CROWDED SKIES

Published on: 18 October 2018 1 Comment

Everybody who's anybody is a frequent flyer

Dateline: 20 March 2038

In the last couple of decades, air traffic has rocketed. Annual air passenger numbers have shot up from less than 8 billion in 2018 to over 20 billion today. That's almost three times the world population, every year! Bearing in mind that hardly any flights exceed 24 hours, that means that, on average, 60 million people are boarding flights, somewhere, every day. And that doesn't include drone taxis and private planes. The only way major air terminals can cope with the hordes is increased reliance ...

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Middle class or middle aged?
Posted: 1 October 2018


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MindBullet logo STOP THE WORLD, WE'RE HAVING A MIDLIFE CRISIS
The West deflates, China stagnates, and the rest of the world watches and worries
Dateline: 1 May 2040
As the 21st Century approaches middle age, prices are falling alarmingly. In real terms, everything from coal to electronics is cheaper than it was four decades ago, and steel is at its lowest price in 100 years. Deflation is the norm in the Old World, and the so-called Dynamic Markets are no longer so dynamic. Over the past century, we have seen global growth on an unprecedented scale, and ...
Electric cars saving the city
Posted: 27 September 2018

As we suggested in this MindBullet from last year, electric cars won't make the slightest difference to climate change, but they make city air cleaner, and the streets much quieter. Here's proof.


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MindBullet logo ELECTRIC CARS CAN'T STEER THE CLIMATE
But they're driving the Energy Internet and saving the city
Dateline: 2 June 2030
It's official. It's now cheaper, on average, to buy a new electric car than one that burns gasoline, without subsidies. But it's not having any effect on climate change. It seems the global climate runs on its own largely unexplained clock, and nothing we do affects it much. Electric cars have become the vehicle of choice for two reasons; cheaper, more efficient batteries, and charging ...

UN REJECTS MARKET MECHANISM

Published on: 27 September 2018

Favours increasing state intervention to realize development goals

Dateline: 15 March 2020

"Existing economic theories are incapable of meeting the needs of the future, and we need an economic transition, away from neoclassical economics and market capitalism," said the latest Sustainable Development report. In other words, capitalism and free markets are not good enough to guarantee prosperity for the people of the world. According to the UN. This position is bound to stir up heated debate from all quarters. No one can argue with the fact that democratic market economies and global trade ...

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Driving extinction with genes
Posted: 25 September 2018


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MindBullet logo ISLAND CROP DECIMATED BY GENE DRIVE FLIES
Scientists say no other theory seems to hold
Dateline: 15 October 2026
After watching Border Security Australia, passengers always got off the plane feeling an extra bit anxious and jittery. Thoughts like 'What if they say the dirt on my hiking boots smells funny? Or they confiscate my grandma's old dusty portrait?' often ran through peoples' heads. Quarantine officers checking for foreign organic matter and unwelcome species used to have an irritating, but ...
Another nuclear hopeful fails
Posted: 25 September 2018 1 Comment

Compact modular molten-salt reactors were touted as the future of nuclear energy - they could be mass produced at a factory and shipped to the town where they were needed. And they would be safe. Yeah, well great ideas don't always work out in practice, and the hard reality of getting a new nuclear technology off the ground has collapsed Transatomic.

Let's face it, nuclear is difficult, and ...

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Nuclear startup to fold after failing to deliver reactor that ran on spent fuel
25 September 2018
Transatomic Power, an MIT spinout that drew wide attention and millions in funding, is shutting down almost two years after the firm backtracked on bold ...
MindBullet logo FUSION'S FATAL FAILURE
Power from nuclear fusion is forever beyond our grasp
Dateline: 12 May 2026
The greatest nuclear fusion experiment, ITER, has been mothballed barely a year after being switched on. "It's unlikely we'll ever achieve ignition," said ...
Catalyst for a better synfuel could revive coal-to-oil process
Posted: 21 September 2018


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MindBullet logo FILL 'ER UP WITH SHUGGA-D
Synthetic biodiesel from sugar makes oil-based diesel look primitive and costly
Dateline: 9 April 2010
Amyris has launched their second-generation biofuel, and it looks like they're taking the market by storm. The new diesel is 'manufactured' by tiny microbes directly from sugar cane pulp. The American biotechnology company has spent the last two years perfecting the process by which their genetically engineered micro-organism converts the natural carbohydrate energy in sugar to a chemical ...
Bangkok's energy internet
Posted: 14 September 2018

Residents in a Bangkok neighbourhood are trying out a renewable energy trading platform that allows them to buy and sell electricity between themselves, signalling the growing popularity of such systems as solar panels get cheaper.
The pilot project in the centre of Thailand's capital is among the world's largest peer-to-peer renewable energy trading platforms using blockchain, according to ...

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In a posh Bangkok neighbourhood, residents trade energy with blockchain
14 September 2018
The pilot project is among the world's largest peer-to-peer renewable energy trading platforms using blockchain
MindBullet logo SOLAR POWER GOES VIRAL
Rooftop, backyard and portable solar is the new meme
Dateline: 15 March 2022
The biggest energy revolution in 150 years has arrived gradually, then suddenly. Now it's here. Personal solar power has displaced central utilities ...
The carbon bubble can't last indefinitely
Posted: 13 September 2018


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MindBullet logo THE CARBON BUBBLE BURSTS
Stocks crash as executive orders bite
Dateline: 5 February 2021
US President Bernie Sanders has signed a series of Executive Orders designed as emergency measures to combat climate change. The net effect is to make fossil fuels way too costly to produce and consume, forcing emissions lower and a massive swing to nuclear and renewable power. On top of that, the plummeting cost of solar has convinced many consumers, even those skeptical about global ...
Exponential electric vehicles
Posted: 4 September 2018

As China comes to the party in a big way, electric car sales are soaring into the millions. By next year, Bloomberg NEF estimates we'll hit the 5m global cumulative sales total.

With that sort of trajectory, perhaps our MindBullet 'predicting' a global glut of electric cars in the future might be pretty close to reality!

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Cumulative Global EV Sales Hit 4 Million
4 September 2018
The time needed to reach each consecutive million EVs sold has shrunk from 17 months for the second million to 6 months for the fourth million.
MindBullet logo ELECTRIC CAR GLUT THREATENS WORLD TRADE
China accused of dumping as prices plummet
Dateline: 5 March 2029
China's success as the biggest producer of cars - mainly electric cars - the world has ever seen, has led to a problem of massive over capacity. There are ...
California goes carbon-free, eventually
Posted: 29 August 2018

By 2045, the California Assembly wants 100 percent of the state’s electricity to come from carbon-free sources. Regulators say they could achieve the 50% mark by the end of 2020, a decade earlier than expected.

Personally I favour Tesla solar roof style generation over massive solar farms, but I guess they're going to use both, plus lots of wind turbines. ...

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California advances an ambitious climate policy that should be a model for the world
29 August 2018
The state is on the verge of passing a rule requiring 100 percent of its electricity to come from carbon-free sources.
MindBullet logo COAL HITS US$10 PER TON AS SOLAR POWER SHINES
Nano solar films bring cheap energy to sunshine states
Dateline: 5 May 2018
It's hard to believe that a mere decade ago fossil fuels were at a premium, and everyone talked of 'peak oil' and the high prices of natural gas and coal. ...
Social media is dead - for some
Posted: 29 August 2018 1 Comment


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MindBullet logo FACEBOOK TO CLOSE: GEN Z REJECTS DIGITAL LIFESTYLE
Flower children of the twenties look for analogue bullet
Dateline: 12 January 2021
In what might be considered a typical anti-establishment rebellion of youth, teenagers of the 2020s seem to be disenchanted by their parents' excessive pre-occupation with all manner of digital gadgets and lifestyles. Instead of iPods and smart phones, today's emerging adults prefer acoustic guitars and personal conversations. "I don't know what to do with him," says media blogger Lucinda ...
VW starts to reinvent itself
Posted: 27 August 2018

Volkswagen is one of the biggest, at times number one, automobile manufacturers in the world. As we head towards a future where millennials and the generations that follow them prefer access to ownership, and embrace services on digital platforms, rather than owning or leasing assets that provide those services, we will see more and more people choosing to rent accommodation and use mobility ...

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VW getting serious about tech acquisitions
27 August 2018
Volkswagen has mapped out details of its transformation from a mass manufacturer of cars to a provider of transportation services by unveiling a ...
MindBullet logo MOBILITY AS A SERVICE
Private cars banned in New York and London
Dateline: 17 August 2019
Four years ago, it was proposed that gasoline and diesel vehicles be banned from certain cities and states; but the new trend towards mobility as a service ...
The solar revolution is (almost) here
Posted: 22 August 2018

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MindBullet logo SOLAR POWER GOES VIRAL
Rooftop, backyard and portable solar is the new meme
Dateline: 15 March 2022
The biggest energy revolution in 150 years has arrived gradually, then suddenly. Now it's here. Personal solar power has displaced central utilities completely for individuals, homes and small businesses. What's more, large businesses and corporate campuses are also contributing to the energy internet, sharing their excess power in slack times, and buying back from the smart grid when they ...
Free energy by 2030 - UBS
Posted: 14 August 2018


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MindBullet logo SOLAR POWER GOES VIRAL
Rooftop, backyard and portable solar is the new meme
Dateline: 15 March 2022
The biggest energy revolution in 150 years has arrived gradually, then suddenly. Now it's here. Personal solar power has displaced central utilities completely for individuals, homes and small businesses. What's more, large businesses and corporate campuses are also contributing to the energy internet, sharing their excess power in slack times, and buying back from the smart grid when they ...
Predictable predictions
Posted: 13 August 2018

The most predictable thing about predictions is that they are usually wrong. Take this prediction, for example, made in 2013:

“The first ice-free Arctic day (as defined by NSIDC) will occur by the end of 2020.”

It's patently obvious (now, in 2018) that this won't occur in the next two years. Arctic ice has made a strong rebound since 2012, its lowest year, and could increase or decrease, ...

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MindBullet logo GLOBAL WARMING IS DEAD
Get ready for the next 'little ice age'
Dateline: 23 September 2017
It's official, the global warming scare is over. The latest report from the independent panel on climate change is warning of decreasing global ...

Filtered by tag: Environment