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Robopocalypse now, soon or never?
Posted: 19 August 2014

Forget about the zombie apocalypse, the robots are going to be the real enemy. That's the message from trend watchers and futurists. Even technohero Elon Musk is warning of the nuclear winter that will result from Super AI. And there's a clue to the big issue, because the bots that will really make 2 billion jobs redundant, as suggested by Thomas Frey, are software agents and algorithms, not lumbering mechanical men.

Making predictions about the future is a risky business. We prefer to sketch scenarios that pose the "What if?" questions, and fuel the debate about what may or may not materialize. Will people be the victims of a robopocalypse? I don't think so, but it's possible. Check out some of our far-sighted MindBullets on this meme.

THE CURSE OF ABUNDANCE
TECHNOLOGICAL UNEMPLOYMENT MEANS NO WORK BUT BASIC PAY
THE FUTURE IS ALGORITHM SHAPED
LET G-DROIDS DO THE DIRTY WORK
SAM DOESN'T KNOW SHE'S A BOT
ALL TECH AND NO JOBS
YOUR NEW BOSS IS A MACHINE

Scary Smart Video Predicts Automation Will Make Human Work Obsolete
19 August 2014
If you've ever scoffed at the notion of robots one day taking your job, you probably shouldn't watch this very scary video.
MindBullet logo COGNITIVE SYSTEMS RULE, OK
Machines that think for themselves are taking over the world
Dateline: 22 February 2022
In our quest to develop smarter, more powerful, less power-hungry computers and devices, we have created artificial intelligence that rivals that of the ...
 
Doug Vining In this opinion piece futurist Thomas Frey offers six megatrends that will shape the future of employment, and asks "When It Comes to Jobs, Why Is This Time Different?"

http://www.wfs.org/blogs/thomas-frey/when-it-comes-jobs-why-time-different

Posted: 11 September 2014 at 12:02
Doug Vining MIT professor David Autor says "It Will Be A Long Time Before Robots Take Jobs That Require Things Like Adaptability And Common Sense" in a paper reported by Reuters.

"Autor, who has been studying technology and its impact on jobs since before the dot-com bubble burst, notes that some economists have pointed to the weak U.S. labour market since the 2000s as evidence of the adverse impact of computerization.

Such modern-day Luddites are mistaken, he suggested. U.S. investment in computers, which had been increasing strongly, dropped just as labour demand also fell, exactly the opposite of what ought to happen if technology is replacing labour.

More likely, he said, globalization is to blame, hurting demand for domestic labour and, like technology, helping to reshape the labour landscape. While in the long run both globalization and technology should in theory benefit the economy, he wrote, their effects are “frequently slow, costly, and disruptive.”

http://www.businessinsider.com.au/r-computers-reshaping-global-job-market-for-better-and-worse-paper-2014-8
Posted: 1 September 2014 at 08:49
 
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